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第C0007版:天下·双语
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· The Saudi Spigot
· The future of energy
· 沙特的石油开关
· 美国在欧洲的
核武器安全吗?
· 能源的未来
· Desperate Times
· Microsoft without Gates
· France's
defence review
· 法国国防白皮书
· 没有盖茨的微软
· Are US Nukes in Europe Secure
· 绝望的时代
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2008年6月24日     收藏 打印 推荐 朗读 评论 更多功能 
The future of energy
  Since the industrial revolution 200 years ago, mankind has depended on fossil fuel. The notion that this might change is hard to contemplate. Greens may hector. Consciences may nag. The central heating's thermostat may turn down a notch or two. A less thirsty car may sit in the drive. But actually stop using the stuff? Impossible to imagine: surely there isn't a serious alternative?    

  Such a failure of imagination has been at the heart of the debate about climate change. The green message—use less energy—is not going to solve the problem unless economic growth stops at the same time. If it does not (and it won't), any efficiency saving will soon be eaten up by higher consumption per head. Even the hair-shirt option, then, will bring only short-term relief. And when a dire prophecy from environmentalism's jeremiad looks as if it is coming true, as the price of petroleum rises through the roof and the idea that oil might run out is no longer whispered in corners but openly discussed, there is a temptation to believe that the end of the world is, indeed, nigh.

  Not everyone, however, is so pessimistic. For, in the imaginations of a coterie of physicists, biologists and engineers, an alternative world is taking shape. Plans for the end of the fossil-fuel economy are now being laid and they do not involve much self-flagellation. Instead of bullying and scaring people, the prophets of energy technology are attempting to seduce them. They promise a world where, at one level, things will have changed beyond recognition, but at another will have stayed comfortably the same, and may even have got better.

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钱江晚报 天下·双语 C0007 The future of energy 2008-6-24 钱江晚报c00072008-06-2400020 2